Neftchi Baku

2 - 0

Zeljeznicar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Zeljeznicar win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.