MX23RW : Monday, November 25 12:42:52| >> :120:8137:8137:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Grbavica

Zeljeznicar
2 - 2
Neftchi Baku

Haracic (14'), Amoah (45+9')
Biber (43'), Ovcina (45+2'), Drina (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kosoric (43' og.), Haciyev (90+5')
Saief (45+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zeljeznicar and Neftchi Baku.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-2 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Neftchi Baku 0-1 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zeljeznicar win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
ZeljeznicarDrawNeftchi Baku
45.65% (0.1 0.1) 26.68% (-0.035 -0.04) 27.67% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.091999999999999 0.09)55.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.073 0.07)76.65% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Zeljeznicar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.088999999999999 0.09)24.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (0.126 0.13)58.58% (-0.128 -0.13)
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Zeljeznicar 45.65%
    Neftchi Baku 27.67%
    Draw 26.67%
ZeljeznicarDrawNeftchi Baku
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Zeljeznicar vs Neftchi Baku

Zeljeznicar
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Neftchi Baku
0.0%
17
rhs 2.0
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