Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Grbavica
Zeljeznicar2 - 2Neftchi Baku
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zeljeznicar and Neftchi Baku.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-2 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zeljeznicar win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zeljeznicar | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
45.65% ( 0.1) | 26.68% ( -0.04) | 27.67% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( 0.09) | 55.46% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( 0.07) | 76.65% ( -0.08) |
Zeljeznicar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( 0.09) | 24.23% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.42% ( 0.13) | 58.58% ( -0.13) |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% ( -0.01) | 35.32% ( 0) |