Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
4 - 2
Slavia Prague

(AC Milan win 7-3 on aggregate)

Giroud (34'), Reijnders (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+1'), Pulisic (85')
Florenzi (2'), Calabria (72')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Doudera (36'), Schranz (65')
Hadji Malick Diouf (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AC Milan and Slavia Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lazio 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Slavia Prague

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-0 Slavia Prague
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Goals
for

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Slavia Prague

Though Slavia certainly have the weapons to punish any Milan mistakes, the hosts possess more squad depth these days and can score from several sources. As a result, they should make the most of home advantage and take a one-goal lead to Prague. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Slavia Prague
53.98% ( -0.01)	22.24% ( 0)	23.79% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.22% (

-0)

39.78% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.86% (

-0)

62.14% (

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

-0)

14.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.01% (

-0.01)

42.99% (

0.01)

Slavia Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94% (

30.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

0.01)

66.19% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 53.98%

Slavia Prague 23.79%

Draw 22.24%

AC Milan	Draw	Slavia Prague
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.98%	1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.79%