Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 2Slavia Prague
FT(HT: 3-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-0 Slavia Prague
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Goals
for
for
46
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Slavia Prague
Though Slavia certainly have the weapons to punish any Milan mistakes, the hosts possess more squad depth these days and can score from several sources. As a result, they should make the most of home advantage and take a one-goal lead to Prague. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Slavia Prague |
53.98% ( -0.01) | 22.24% ( 0) | 23.79% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
