Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza4 - 2AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
While Milan are free-scoring, Monza have found the net just twice in four matches. Though Thursday's efforts will have sapped some of the Rossoneri's energy, they should still have enough gas in the tank to race past their Lombardy rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
28.01% ( 0.02) | 24.65% ( 0.41) | 47.35% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
