Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Atalanta

Leao (3')
Pioli (40'), Leao (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koopmeiners (42' pen.)
de Roon (44'), Holm (45+3'), Lookman (56'), Ederson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Rennes 3-2 AC Milan
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 2-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta (10) and Milan (12) are the only two Serie A sides to have scored at least 10 goals via substitutes this season, so late inspiration could well come from the bench in a close-fought contest. The points may be split at the final whistle, which would maintain the Rossoneri's grip on third spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
44.52% ( 0.25)	26.25% ( 0.01)	29.23% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.97% (

-0.16)

53.03% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.38% (

-0.14)

74.62% (

0.14)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

0.05)

23.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

0.07)

57.84% (

-0.07)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

-0.28)

32.83% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

-0.32)

69.4% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 44.51%

Atalanta BC 29.23%

Draw 26.24%

AC Milan	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.51%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.23%