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Europa League
AEK Athens
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Marseille

AEK Athens
0 - 2
Marseille


Gacinovic (28'), Ponce (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbemba (25'), Sarr (90+3')
Oliveira (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Athens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Marseille

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Marseille 0-0 Lille
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: AEK Athens 0-1 Marseille

 High-scoring, end-to-end encounters have been commonplace in Europa League Group E so far, but we can envisage a more low-key affair in Athens, particularly given Marseille's troubles in the final third domestically. Almeyda's side do not tend to concede many goals either, but with several attacking stars primed to make an impact off the bench, we expect Gattuso's men to make the long journey worthwhile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawMarseille
39.4%24.97%35.63%
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.94%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.79%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.66%
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 39.4%
    Marseille 35.63%
    Draw 24.96%
AEK AthensDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.21%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 11.71%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.63%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Marseille

AEK Athens
25.0%
Draw
14.5%
Marseille
60.5%
76
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Marseille
3-1
AEK Athens
Oliveira (27'), Harit (60' pen.), Veretout (69' pen.)
Balerdi (26'), Clauss (32')
Pineda (53')
Sidibe (11'), Rota (45+4'), Amrabat (68'), Jonsson (83')
Stankovic (57')
> Preview
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