MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:39:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
0 - 0
Lille


Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
FT

Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews the Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Monaco
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Lille

Since being stunned by Annecy in the Coupe de France at the start of March, Marseille have lost just one of their 13 home matches since, and they will expect to keep that run going here. Lille are a team in form though, especially domestically, and after seeing off Monaco last week, they will have the confidence to pick up a result at the Velodrome, despite it typically being an unhappy hunting ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLille
45.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.82% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)65.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)50.69% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.92%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 45.34%
    Lille 30.63%
    Draw 24.03%
MarseilleDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.23%
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.63%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lille

Marseille
40.4%
Draw
31.9%
Lille
27.7%
47
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Ismaily (12')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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