Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lille |
45.34% ( -0.01) | 24.03% ( 0) | 30.63% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( -0.01) | 42.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( -0.01) | 65.22% ( 0.01) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( -0.01) | 19.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% ( -0.01) | 50.69% ( 0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% ( -0) | 26.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( -0) | 61.92% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |