MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 20:54:28| >> :600:126331:126331:
Ajax
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Brighton logo

Ajax
0 - 2
Brighton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fati (15'), Adingra (53')
Pedro (33'), Paul van Hecke (69')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Ansu Fati and Simon Adingra guide Brighton & Hove Albion to a 2-0 Europa League victory over Ajax in Amsterdam.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
56.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 20.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.25% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 66.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)51.63% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65% (0.010999999999996 0.01)35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.02% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 56.58%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 23.25%
    Draw 20.17%
AjaxDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.23%
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.17%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Ajax vs Brighton

Ajax
43.5%
Draw
23.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
33.3%
147
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Brighton
2-0
Ajax
Pedro (42'), Fati (53')
Mitoma (22'), Paul van Hecke (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa5401107312
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford6213810-27
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Everton6114715-84
16Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
17Crystal Palace603359-43
18Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!