Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Ajax 2-1 Heerenveen
Ajax experienced a new-manager bounce in the last match and will be looking to keep the momentum going as they approach their must-win Europa League encounter against Brighton & Hove Albion next week. Last week's win could be the turning point in the season for the hosts, and we fancy them to go back-to-back in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
62.73% ( 0.22) | 19.29% ( 0.05) | 17.97% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0.72) | 33.91% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.24% ( -0.82) | 55.76% ( 0.82) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.62% ( -0.15) | 10.38% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.35) | 33.9% ( 0.35) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( -0.72) | 32.04% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.49% ( -0.82) | 68.51% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 62.73%
Heerenveen 17.97%
Draw 19.29%
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.23% Total : 62.73% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.29% | 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 17.97% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen
Ajax
81.0%Draw
9.5%Heerenveen
9.5%21
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
