Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
PSV5 - 2Ajax
The Match
Match Report
Ajax sink to the bottom of the Eredivisie table after a 5-2 defeat at leaders and rivals PSV Eindhoven, who remain perfect this season after a 10th win from 10.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 17.31% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (4.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
65.48% ( 1.59) | 17.2% ( -0.31) | 17.31% ( -1.29) |
| Both teams to score 67.97% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.8) | 24.56% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.65% ( -1.07) | 44.35% ( 1.06) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( 0.09) | 7.21% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.84% ( 0.23) | 26.16% ( -0.24) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( -1.72) | 26.74% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.98% ( -2.33) | 62.02% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven 65.48%
Ajax 17.31%
Draw 17.2%
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.15)5-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.98% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.2% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.22)0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.2% Total : 17.31% |
How you voted: PSV vs Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
83.6%Draw
9.1%Ajax
7.3%55
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
Final
PSV
2-1
Ajax
