Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.