Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
33.07% | 22.85% | 44.09% |
Both teams to score 64.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.94% | 36.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% | 21.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% | 55.25% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% | 16.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% | 46.95% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |