Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
33.07% | 22.85% | 44.09% |
Both teams to score 64.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.94% | 36.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% | 21.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% | 55.25% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% | 16.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% | 46.95% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |