Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
