Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Midtjylland3 - 2Braga
We said: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Braga
Whilst Midtjylland produced that impressive 1-0 win in their previous European game, they have lost their last two matches in the Danish Superliga - hardly ideal preparations for this important encounter. We expect Braga to build on the confidence they will have gained from their big victory at the weekend and overcome the hosts' home advantage to secure a narrow win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Braga |
| 44.12% | 22.98% | 32.9% |
| Both teams to score 64.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
