Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
31.59% (![]() | 26.29% (![]() | 42.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% (![]() | 52.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% (![]() | 73.97% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% (![]() | 30.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% (![]() | 67.01% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% (![]() | 24.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.95% (![]() | 59.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 8.91% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 12.5% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |