Taca da Liga | Final

Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 2
Porto

Ugarte (32'), Paulinho (63'), Goncalves (67'), Reis (90+6')
Paulinho (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eustaquio (10'), Marcano (86')
Wendell (67'), Pepe (63'), Borges (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Viseu
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-3 Porto

We believe that this competition will be decided by which team is able to keep the tightest defence and be clinical with their opportunities in front of the goal. Therefore, we think that Sporting Lisbon will not win their third Taca da Liga trophy in a row and that Porto will come out victorious for the first time ever in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
34.71%	27.27%	38.01%

Both teams to score 49.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47%

55.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29%

76.71%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68%

30.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5%

66.5%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69%

28.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97%

64.03%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 34.71%

Porto 38.01%

Draw 27.27%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.71%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.01%