Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Maribor0 - 2HJK Helsinki
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and HJK Helsinki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Mariehamn
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 16 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 17 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Honka | 16 | 19 | 33 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 45.42% | 27.28% ( -0.01) | 27.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
