Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.93% (![]() | 23.76% (![]() | 35.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.08% (![]() | 39.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.71% (![]() | 62.28% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% | 19.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% | 51.87% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% (![]() | 22.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% (![]() | 56.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.02% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |