Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes3 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting need to continue churning out results after seeing their lead atop the league cut to three points. The hosts will be fairly positive coming into this match as they have an impeccable record against Vitoria de Guimaraes, and we feel they will secure their seventh straight win over Os Vimaranenses in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
30.38% ( 0.25) | 24.43% ( -0.11) | 45.19% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
