Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de France
France4 - 1Scotland
The Match
Match Report
Benjamin Pavard scores twice as France come from behind to beat Scotland 4-1 in a friendly at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Tuesday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between France and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 6 | -21 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Scotland |
70.5% ( 0.09) | 18.26% ( -0.14) | 11.25% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
