MX23RW : Friday, February 7 05:59:46| >> :600:10060860:10060860:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Hungary national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Puskas Arena
Lithuania national football team

Hungary
2 - 0
Lithuania

Varga (32'), Sallai (83')
Orban (54'), Szoboszlai (89'), Rossi (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Uzela (39'), Tutyskinas (50'), Jankauskas (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Montenegro 0-0 Hungary
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Hungary 2-0 Lithuania

 Hungary's impressive form in Budapest should overwhelm Lithuania's wretched road form in Euros qualifying, with a routing home win likely in the offing on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 5.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.81%) and 3-0 (12.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.65%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hungary in this match.

Result
HungaryDrawLithuania
77.06% (33.136 33.14) 17.08% (-4.624 -4.62) 5.85% (-28.51 -28.51)
Both teams to score 28.09% (-41.698 -41.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (-25.894 -25.89)55.73% (25.897 25.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (-25.878 -25.88)76.87% (25.881 25.88)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (1.743 1.74)12.76% (-1.74 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (3.475 3.48)39.02% (-3.471 -3.47)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.19% (-49.422 -49.42)67.81% (49.425 49.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.85% (-44.6331 -44.63)94.15% (44.636 44.64)
Score Analysis
    Hungary 77.05%
    Lithuania 5.85%
    Draw 17.08%
HungaryDrawLithuania
2-0 @ 18.33% (13.361 13.36)
1-0 @ 17.81% (12.664 12.66)
3-0 @ 12.58% (9.381 9.38)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-1.292 -1.29)
4-0 @ 6.48% (4.936 4.94)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.528 -0.53)
5-0 @ 2.67% (2.072 2.07)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-3.639 -3.64)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.724 0.72)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 77.05%
0-0 @ 8.65% (5.985 5.99)
1-1 @ 6.92% (-1.797 -1.8)
2-2 @ 1.38% (-5.745 -5.75)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.08%
0-1 @ 3.36% (-1.153 -1.15)
1-2 @ 1.34% (-6.039 -6.04)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 5.85%

How you voted: Hungary vs Lithuania

Hungary
78.0%
Draw
14.0%
Lithuania
8.0%
50
rhs 2.0
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