Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Puskas Arena

Hungary
2 - 0
Lithuania

Varga (32'), Sallai (83')
Orban (54'), Szoboszlai (89'), Rossi (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Uzela (39'), Tutyskinas (50'), Jankauskas (56')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Hungary and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungary

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Montenegro 0-0 Hungary
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Serbia	2	4	6
2	Hungary	2	3	4
3	Montenegro	3	-1	4
4	Lithuania	2	-2	1
5	Bulgaria	3	-4	1

Lithuania

Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Bulgaria
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Hungary 2-0 Lithuania

Hungary's impressive form in Budapest should overwhelm Lithuania's wretched road form in Euros qualifying, with a routing home win likely in the offing on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 5.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.81%) and 3-0 (12.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.65%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hungary in this match.

Result
Hungary	Draw	Lithuania
77.06% ( 33.14)	17.08% ( -4.62)	5.85% ( -28.51)

Both teams to score 28.09% (

-41.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27% (

-25.89)

55.73% (

25.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

-25.88)

76.87% (

25.88)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24% (

1.74)

12.76% (

-1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.98% (

3.48)

39.02% (

-3.47)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.19% (

-49.42)

67.81% (

49.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.85% (

-44.63)

94.15% (

44.64)

Score Analysis

Hungary 77.05%

Lithuania 5.85%

Draw 17.08%

Hungary	Draw	Lithuania
2-0 @ 18.33% ( 13.36) 1-0 @ 17.81% ( 12.66) 3-0 @ 12.58% ( 9.38) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -1.29) 4-0 @ 6.48% ( 4.94) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.53) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( 2.07) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( -3.64) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.72) Other @ 1.74% Total : 77.05%	0-0 @ 8.65% ( 5.99) 1-1 @ 6.92% ( -1.8) 2-2 @ 1.38% ( -5.75) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.08%	0-1 @ 3.36% ( -1.15) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -6.04) Other @ 1.15% Total : 5.85%