MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 12:40:12| >> :600:12936086:12936086:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Serbia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Lithuania national football team

Serbia
2 - 0
Lithuania

Tadic (16'), Vlahovic (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Slivka (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Serbia and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Last Game: USA 1-2 Serbia
Thursday, January 26 at 3am in International Friendlies

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Estonia 2-0 Lithuania
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Serbia 5-0 Lithuania

 Serbia should be able to kick off their qualification campaign with a comfortable victory, and given the disparity between the two sides, it is more likely to be a question of how many they can win by. With the likes of Mitrovic and Vlahovic to choose from in attack, it would not be a surprise to see the Eagles rack up a victory by a sizeable margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 3.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.67%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.

Result
SerbiaDrawLithuania
86.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 9.79% (0.043000000000001 0.04) 3.74% (0.0519 0.05)
Both teams to score 36.93% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.98% (0.11499999999999 0.11)33.01% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.26% (0.131 0.13)54.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.8% (0.0039999999999907 0)5.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.57% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.95% (0.338 0.34)61.05% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.82% (0.1661 0.17)91.17% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 86.46%
    Lithuania 3.74%
    Draw 9.79%
SerbiaDrawLithuania
2-0 @ 13.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 13.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 10.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 5.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 2.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 86.46%
1-1 @ 4.63% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.69% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.79%
0-1 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.14% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 3.74%

How you voted: Serbia vs Lithuania

Serbia
84.9%
Draw
5.8%
Lithuania
9.3%
86
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2019 7.45pm
Group B
Lithuania
1-2
Serbia
Kazlauskas (79')
Laukzemis (90'), Kazlauskas (92')
Mitrovic (49', 53')
Ljajic (80')
Jun 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group B
Serbia
4-1
Lithuania
Mitrovic (20', 34'), Jovic (35'), Ljajic (92')
Mitrovic (71')
Novikovas (71' pen.)
Laukzemis (40'), Simkus (59'), Chvedukas (83')
Nov 20, 2018 7.45pm
League C4
Serbia
4-1
Lithuania
Zulpa (51' og.), Mitrovic (58'), Prijovic (71'), Ljajic (74')
Petravicius (64')
Girdvainis (54')
Sep 7, 2018 7.45pm
League C4
Lithuania
0-1
Serbia

Novikovas (81')
Tadic (38' pen.)
Rodic (41'), Maksimovic (48')
rhs 2.0
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