Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
2 - 0
Liechtenstein

Sinani (59'), Rodrigues (89')
Jans (22'), Chanot (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luchinger (27'), Malin (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Malta
Friday, June 9 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	10	6
2	Slovakia	2	2	4
3	Iceland	2	4	3
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	1	3
5	Luxembourg	2	-6	1
6	Liechtenstein	2	-11	0

Liechtenstein

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-7 Iceland
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	10	6
2	Slovakia	2	2	4
3	Iceland	2	4	3
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	1	3
5	Luxembourg	2	-6	1
6	Liechtenstein	2	-11	0

We said: Luxembourg 2-0 Liechtenstein

Luxembourg are not often the favourites heading into matches at this level, but that will be the case on Saturday. It is really difficult to make a case for Liechtenstein in this game, and we are expecting it to be a routine home success for Holtz's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 82.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.93%) and 1-0 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Luxembourg in this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Liechtenstein
82.5% ( -1.83)	12.94% ( 1.12)	4.56% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 31.65% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-1.43)

44.49% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-1.4)

66.86% (

1.41)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63% (

-0.74)

8.37% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.88% (

-1.89)

29.12% (

1.89)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.54% (

2.06)

65.46% (

-2.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.8% (

0.84)

93.2% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 82.48%

Liechtenstein 4.56%

Draw 12.94%

Luxembourg	Draw	Liechtenstein
2-0 @ 16.85% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.7) 1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.34) 4-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.56) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.63% Total : 82.48%	1-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.94%	0-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.02% Total : 4.56%