Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Iceland4 - 0Liechtenstein
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 7 | 25 | 21 |
2 | Slovakia | 7 | 5 | 13 |
3 | Luxembourg | 7 | -9 | 11 |
4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 7 | -2 | 9 |
5 | Iceland | 7 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Bosnia H'vina
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 7 | 25 | 21 |
2 | Slovakia | 7 | 5 | 13 |
3 | Luxembourg | 7 | -9 | 11 |
4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 7 | -2 | 9 |
5 | Iceland | 7 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Liechtenstein | 7 | -20 | 0 |
We said: Iceland 2-0 Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein have managed to keep the scores down since their change of manager in June, so we are not expecting the visitors to be on the end of a heavy loss on Monday, but it is very difficult to back anything other than an Iceland win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 91.35%. A draw had a probability of 6.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 1.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 4-0 (12.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.
Result | ||
Iceland | Draw | Liechtenstein |
91.35% ( 0.03) | 6.88% ( -0.03) | 1.77% |
Both teams to score 26.51% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.4% ( 0.19) | 31.6% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.9% ( 0.22) | 53.1% ( -0.22) |
Iceland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.94% ( 0.03) | 4.07% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.92% ( 0.11) | 17.08% ( -0.11) |
Liechtenstein Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
27.63% ( 0.14) | 72.37% ( -0.14) |