Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg
3 - 1
Iceland

Chanot (9' pen.), Borges Sanches (70'), Sinani (89')
Mahmutovic (13'), Martins Pereira (15')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arnar Haraldsson (88')
Magnusson (39'), Arnar Haraldsson (56'), Bergmann Johannesson (85')
Magnusson (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-2 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	4	14	12
2	Slovakia	4	4	10
3	Luxembourg	4	-2	7
4	Iceland	4	2	3
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	4	-4	3
6	Liechtenstein	4	-14	0

Iceland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Iceland 0-1 Portugal
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	4	14	12
2	Slovakia	4	4	10
3	Luxembourg	4	-2	7
4	Iceland	4	2	3
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	4	-4	3
6	Liechtenstein	4	-14	0

We said: Luxembourg 1-0 Iceland

Barring their six-goal thumping at the hands of Portugal, Luxembourg have kept three clean sheets from their other three Euro 2024 qualifying matches so far and ought to feel optimistic about their chances of shutting out a depleted Iceland crop. Despite their recent knack for getting results on the road, Hareide's side may fall just short on Friday, as Luxembourg move onto a double-figure points total at the halfway mark. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Iceland
23.22% ( -0.09)	25.18% ( -0.03)	51.6% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

0.03)

52.92% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

0.03)

74.53% (

-0.03)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.2% (

-0.07)

37.79% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43% (

-0.07)

74.57% (

0.07)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

0.06)

20.51% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.99% (

0.1)

53% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 23.22%

Iceland 51.6%

Draw 25.17%

Luxembourg	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.22%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.6%