UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Sep 25, 2022 at 2pm UK

Moldova
2 - 0
Liechtenstein

Stina (90+2', 90+4')
Nicolaescu (66'), Bolohan (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Beck (10'), Grunenfelder (27'), Gassner (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Liechtenstein, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Latvia 1-2 Moldova
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Liechtenstein

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Andorra
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

We said: Moldova 2-0 Liechtenstein

With little goal threat to worry about from toothless Liechtenstein, the path is clear for Moldova to repeat the same scoreline that brought maximum points from the reverse fixture. Though that may not be enough to secure promotion, sealing second spot with four wins from six would still be commendable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Moldova.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Liechtenstein
51.01% ( 0.06)	22.38% ( -0.01)	26.61% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.22% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.29% (

-0.01)

37.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.04% (

-0.01)

59.96% (

0.01)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

0.02)

15.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

0.03)

43.48% (

-0.04)

Liechtenstein Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.04)

26.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-0.06)

62.08% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Moldova 51.01%

Liechtenstein 26.61%

Draw 22.38%

Moldova	Draw	Liechtenstein
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 51.01%	1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.38%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.61%