Slovakia

4 - 2

Iceland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Iceland win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.