Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Laugardalsvollur

Iceland
1 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Finnbogason (90+1')
Ingvi Traustason (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hadzikadunic (29'), Milicevic (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Iceland and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Luxembourg 3-1 Iceland
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	15	15
2	Slovakia	5	3	10
3	Luxembourg	5	0	10
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	5	-3	6
5	Iceland	5	0	3
6	Liechtenstein	5	-15	0

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 2-1 Liechtenstein
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	15	15
2	Slovakia	5	3	10
3	Luxembourg	5	0	10
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	5	-3	6
5	Iceland	5	0	3
6	Liechtenstein	5	-15	0

We said: Iceland 1-2 Bosnia-Herzegovina

A win for the visitors here would put them firmly in the qualification picture, and we are expecting Bosnia-Herzegovina to triumph. Iceland were disappointing in their defeat to Luxembourg, and it is difficult to back them to pick up a positive result with any real confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
35% ( 0.31)	27.35% ( -0.07)	37.64% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18% (

0.28)

55.82% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05% (

0.23)

76.95% (

-0.23)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

0.34)

30.28% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

0.4)

66.45% (

-0.4)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

-0.01)

28.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-0.01)

64.48% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Iceland 35.01%

Bosnia-Herzegovina 37.63%

Draw 27.35%

Iceland	Draw	Bosnia-Herzegovina
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.63%