MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 12:11:26| >> :60:708:708:
Netherlands national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Scotland national football team

Netherlands
4 - 0
Scotland

Reijnders (40'), Wijnaldum (72'), Weghorst (84'), Malen (86')
Depay (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McTominay (9'), McGinn (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Netherlands and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-6 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 3-3 Norway
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

We said: Netherlands 3-2 Scotland

Three or more goals have been scored in eight of the last 10 international matches involving Scotland, while the Netherlands have found the net in each of their last eight fixtures, so goals could be on the cards in Amsterdam. It remains to be seen how strong both nations will line up for this contest, but the Netherlands should ultimately have enough quality within their ranks to come away with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawScotland
61.32% (-0.143 -0.14) 21.6% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 17.07% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.211 -0.21)46.16% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (-0.201 -0.2)68.46% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.114 -0.11)14.55% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)42.59% (0.221 0.22)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)40.45% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)77.06% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 61.32%
    Scotland 17.07%
    Draw 21.59%
NetherlandsDrawScotland
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 61.32%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Scotland

Netherlands
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Scotland
18.5%
135
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2021 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Netherlands
2-2
Scotland
Depay (17', 89')
de Ligt (42')
Hendry (11'), Nisbet (64')
Nov 9, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Scotland
0-1
Netherlands

McGinn (64')
Depay (40')
Strootman (74')
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
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5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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