Friendlies 1

Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Helsingin olympiastadion

Germany
2 - 3
Turkey

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kadioglu (38'), Yildiz (45+2'), Sari (71' pen.)
Kabak (27'), Kahveci (34'), Omur (57'), Yilmaz (90+1'), Bardakci (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up in Saturday's international friendly with Turkey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Germany
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Turkey

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Turkey 4-0 Latvia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	7	7	16
2	Croatia	6	6	10
3	Wales	6	0	10
4	Armenia	6	-1	7
5	Latvia	7	-12	3

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting goals on Saturday. Turkey's qualification for Euro 2024 means that Montella should name a strong team here, and with a lot of attacking talent on both sides, we are predicting an entertaining draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Germany	Draw	Turkey
38.98% ( 2.85)	23.74% ( -0.06)	37.28% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 62.45% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.41% (

0.4)

39.59% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.06% (

0.41)

61.94% (

-0.41)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

1.59)

20.56% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

2.45)

53.08% (

-2.45)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-1.16)

21.38% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

-1.83)

54.37% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Germany 38.98%

Turkey 37.28%

Draw 23.73%

Germany	Draw	Turkey
2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.98%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.28%