MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:29:58| >> :60:2591:2591:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Turkey national football team

Germany
2 - 3
Turkey

Havertz (5'), Fullkrug (49')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kadioglu (38'), Yildiz (45+2'), Sari (71' pen.)
Kabak (27'), Kahveci (34'), Omur (57'), Yilmaz (90+1'), Bardakci (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up in Saturday's international friendly with Turkey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Germany
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in International Friendlies

Turkey

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Turkey 4-0 Latvia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia6610
3Wales6010
4Armenia6-17
5Latvia7-123

We said: Germany 2-2 Turkey

 This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting goals on Saturday. Turkey's qualification for Euro 2024 means that Montella should name a strong team here, and with a lot of attacking talent on both sides, we are predicting an entertaining draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawTurkey
38.98% (2.851 2.85) 23.74% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 37.28% (-2.791 -2.79)
Both teams to score 62.45% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (0.397 0.4)39.59% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (0.412 0.41)61.94% (-0.412 -0.41)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (1.589 1.59)20.56% (-1.587 -1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (2.451 2.45)53.08% (-2.451 -2.45)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (-1.162 -1.16)21.38% (1.163 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.63% (-1.827 -1.83)54.37% (1.828 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Germany 38.98%
    Turkey 37.28%
    Draw 23.73%
GermanyDrawTurkey
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.352 0.35)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.412 0.41)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.387 0.39)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.343 0.34)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.229 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.351 -0.35)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.28%

How you voted: Germany vs Turkey

Germany
76.5%
Draw
17.6%
Turkey
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Germany
3-3
Turkey
Draxler (45+1'), Neuhaus (58'), Waldschmidt (81')
Rudiger (18'), Draxler (23'), Can (68')
Tufan (50'), Karaca (67'), Karaman (90+4')
Under (77')
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