In their first meeting for nine years, these neighbouring nations should play out a close contest, perhaps decided by a slim margin in Scotland's favour. Always a threat at Hampden, the hosts are sure to score at least once, which could be enough to see off a young Northern Ireland side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Northern Ireland
55.89% ( 1)	24.18% ( -0.12)	19.94% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

-0.55)

52.52% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.47)

74.18% (

0.47)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

0.17)

18.66% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.01% (

0.29)

49.99% (

-0.29)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

-1.24)

40.88% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

-1.13)

77.45% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Scotland 55.87%

Northern Ireland 19.94%

Draw 24.17%

Scotland	Draw	Northern Ireland
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.87%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.22% Total : 19.94%