FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth0 - 1Leicester
The Match
Match Report
Leicester City reach the quarter-finals of the FA Cup with a 1-0 victory over Bournemouth after extra time thanks to a magnificent Abdul Fatawu winner.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man City
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Leicester
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Leicester City |
26.68% ( -6.93) | 21.95% ( -1.68) | 51.36% ( 8.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
