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FA Cup
Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Leicester logo

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Leicester


Unal (35'), Senesi (57'), Scott (87'), Kluivert (109')
FT
(aet)
Fatawu (105')
Raikhy (37'), Doyle (51'), Fatawu (96'), Pereira (111'), Justin (115')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City reach the quarter-finals of the FA Cup with a 1-0 victory over Bournemouth after extra time thanks to a magnificent Abdul Fatawu winner.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man City
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Leicester City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Leicester
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
26.68% (-6.93 -6.93) 21.95% (-1.683 -1.68) 51.36% (8.61 8.61)
Both teams to score 63.87% (1.755 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (4.161 4.16)35.57% (-4.164 -4.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (4.464 4.46)57.62% (-4.465 -4.47)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-2.23 -2.23)25.62% (2.229 2.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (-3.138 -3.14)60.5% (3.137 3.14)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (4.79 4.79)14.13% (-4.791 -4.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.22% (8.642 8.64)41.78% (-8.644 -8.64)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 26.68%
    Leicester City 51.37%
    Draw 21.95%
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.57% (-1.208 -1.21)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-1.5 -1.5)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-1.314 -1.31)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.785 -0.79)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.738 -0.74)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.353 -0.35)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.68%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-1.053 -1.05)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.806 -0.81)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.528 0.53)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.797 0.8)
1-3 @ 6.16% (1.212 1.21)
0-3 @ 4.52% (1.117 1.12)
2-3 @ 4.19% (0.6 0.6)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.953 0.95)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.795 0.8)
2-4 @ 2.05% (0.555 0.56)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.494 0.49)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.207 0.21)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 51.37%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Leicester

Bournemouth
43.8%
Draw
13.2%
Leicester City
43.0%
235
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