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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Stockport County |
29.31% ( 0.05) | 24.47% ( 0.03) | 46.22% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.04% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% ( -0.1) | 45.48% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( -0.09) | 67.81% ( 0.09) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.01) | 28.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.02) | 64.77% ( 0.02) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.22% ( -0.07) | 19.78% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.16% ( -0.12) | 51.84% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |