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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Harrogate Town |
41.55% ( 0.02) | 25.73% ( -0.02) | 32.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.42% ( 0.1) | 49.58% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% ( 0.09) | 71.6% ( -0.08) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% ( 0.05) | 23.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.23% ( 0.07) | 57.76% ( -0.07) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.34% ( 0.05) | 28.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.53% ( 0.07) | 64.47% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |