Swansea1 - 2Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 1-2 Middlesbrough
Swansea have the momentum heading into this contest and their supporters will expect another strong result. However, Boro have reached a point under Carrick where they need another winning run, and that extra determination may see them get back on track. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
37.47% ( -0.63) | 23.35% ( 0.02) | 39.18% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( -0.14) | 37.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.15% ( -0.14) | 59.84% ( 0.15) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.36) | 20.41% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.15% ( -0.58) | 52.85% ( 0.58) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.22) | 19.61% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.44% ( 0.36) | 51.55% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.18% |
