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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
37.47% (![]() | 23.35% (![]() | 39.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.98% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% (![]() | 37.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.15% (![]() | 59.84% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% (![]() | 20.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.15% (![]() | 52.85% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% (![]() | 19.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.44% (![]() | 51.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |