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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Hull City
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Swansea have the momentum heading into this contest and their supporters will expect another strong result. However, Boro have reached a point under Carrick where they need another winning run, and that extra determination may see them get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
37.47% (-0.629 -0.63) 23.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.18% (0.607 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-0.136 -0.14)37.61% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15% (-0.145 -0.14)59.84% (0.145 0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.36 -0.36)20.41% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)52.85% (0.575 0.58)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.221 0.22)19.61% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (0.358 0.36)51.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.47%
    Middlesbrough 39.18%
    Draw 23.34%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
27.3%
Draw
31.8%
Middlesbrough
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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