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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Hawthorns
Stoke logo

West Brom
1 - 1
Stoke

Thomas-Asante (35')
Yokuslu (44'), Bartley (45+2'), Fellows (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gooch (12')
Burger (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Stoke City

While there is less pressure on Stoke's interim management team, the players themselves know that they are fighting for their future. Nevertheless, we still expect the Baggies to come through with a hard-earned win, one which will solidify Stoke as relegation candidates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
45.2% (0.225 0.23) 25.7% (0.405 0.41) 29.1% (-0.63 -0.63)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.659 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (-1.994 -1.99)50.87% (1.994 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (-1.781 -1.78)72.75% (1.78 1.78)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.738 -0.74)22.46% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-1.113 -1.11)56% (1.112 1.11)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-1.476 -1.48)31.8% (1.477 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-1.726 -1.73)68.24% (1.727 1.73)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 45.19%
    Stoke City 29.1%
    Draw 25.7%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.556 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.323 0.32)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
82.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stoke City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Stoke
2-1
West Brom
Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')
Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
1-2
West Brom
Brown (30')
Molumby (59', 69')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
West Brom
1-3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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