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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
Leeds logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Leeds

Diangana (37')
Kipre (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gruev (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Leeds
Tuesday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-2 Leeds United

West Brom were able to control a Norwich side who looked to camp in with 10 men on Boxing Day, but Leeds will pose a different challenge in this one. The Whites will be desperate to respond following an off day at Preston, and we feel that Farke's men will share the spoils at The Hawthorns after an exciting contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
41.37% (-0.131 -0.13) 25.38% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 33.25% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.117 -0.12)47.94% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.107 -0.11)70.11% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)23.03% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.169 -0.17)56.84% (0.17 0.17)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.37%
    Leeds United 33.25%
    Draw 25.38%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: West Brom vs Leeds

West Bromwich Albion
27.1%
Draw
16.9%
Leeds United
55.9%
59
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
1-1
West Brom
Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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