Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Aldershot Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
62.46% ( -0.02) | 19.36% | 18.18% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.17% ( 0.03) | 33.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.33% ( 0.04) | 55.67% ( -0.04) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% ( 0) | 10.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66% ( 0.01) | 33.99% ( -0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( 0.04) | 31.77% ( -0.04) |