FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
4 - 7
Aldershot

Kemp (75', 78'), Austin (90+2', 90+5')
Godwin-Malife (71')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Barham (1', 4', 58'), Stokes (9'), Tolaj (45+3', 51'), Harries (47' pen.)
Widdrington (37'), Barham (59'), Frost (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Aldershot Town
62.46% ( -0.02)	19.36%	18.18% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.11% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.17% (

0.03)

33.83% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.33% (

0.04)

55.67% (

-0.04)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.57% (

10.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66% (

0.01)

33.99% (

-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22% (

0.04)

31.77% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

0.05)

68.2% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 62.46%

Aldershot Town 18.18%

Draw 19.36%

Swindon Town	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.32% 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 62.46%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.36%	1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.18%