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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Norwich logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Norwich

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sainz (30')
Sainz (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Norwich City

West Brom have struggled since the start of December with a tricky run of fixtures, but Corberan's Baggies are never pushovers at The Hawthorns under any circumstances. Norwich are beginning to display their top-six credentials as the likes of Rowe and Sainz get into their strides, and we expect the Canaries to pick up a point on Boxing Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
50.46% (0.217 0.22) 23.86% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 25.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.261 0.26)45.32% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (0.25 0.25)67.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.184 0.18)18.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (0.311 0.31)48.89% (-0.311 -0.31)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.9% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.46%
    Norwich City 25.68%
    Draw 23.85%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.68%

How you voted: West Brom vs Norwich

West Bromwich Albion
33.3%
Draw
25.0%
Norwich City
41.7%
36
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 45
West Brom
2-1
Norwich
Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
Sargent (41')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
O'Shea (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
West Brom
1-1
Norwich
Gayle (12')
Barry (61'), Rodriguez (62'), Holgate (85')
Rhodes (83')
Tettey (56'), Buendia (62'), Krul (90'), Vrancic (94')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Norwich
3-4
West Brom
Rhodes (24'), Pukki (70'), Hanley (82')
Rodriguez (33' pen., 48'), Barnes (65'), Robson-Kanu (79')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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