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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
West Brom

Rogers (40')
Howson (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

In theory, Middlesbrough should be full of confidence following their EFL Cup success on Tuesday, but a fresh wave of injury concerns threaten to hinder the hosts this weekend. West Brom have not been at their best since the 2-0 win over Ipswich Town last month, although the Baggies should be good enough for a point at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 26.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (-0.146 -0.15)50.42% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.128 -0.13)72.35% (0.127 0.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)25.29% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)60.06% (0.052 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.123 -0.12)27.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-0.156 -0.16)63.31% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.84%
    Draw 26.02%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
32.7%
Draw
36.7%
West Bromwich Albion
30.6%
49
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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