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Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Torino logo

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Torino

Lyanco (2' og.), Cutrone (75')
Pezzella (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lyanco (5'), Lukic (36')

Preview: Fiorentina vs. Torino - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Torino, including team news and predicted lineups.

Mid-table sides Fiorentina and Torino face off at Stadio Artemio Franchi with the aim of climbing up the Serie A table.

Thirteenth-placed Fiorentina beat Lecce in midweek to remain two points and two places better off than Torino, who also returned to winning ways last time out with victory at home to Genoa.


Match preview

Fiorentina winger Federico Chiesa pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Fiorentina have spent near enough the entire season camped in mid-table having been hampered by a lack of consistency.

Only once since October have they managed to string together successive league wins, though they can rectify that this weekend after overcoming Lecce last time out.

Federico Chiesa, Patrick Cutrone and Rachid Ghezzal were all on target for the Viola against their struggling opponents to ease their relegation concerns.

There is now a 10-point margin on Lecce in the final relegation spot, meaning that Giuseppe Iachini will surely now be looking up the table rather than down.

Fiorentina have Inter Milan and Roma to face in their next two matches, though, so defeat this weekend, coupled with wins for sides towards the bottom, and the picture may change.

Torino manager Moreno Longo pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Torino are the side at more immediate risk of being dragged into a relegation scrap, however, as they sit eight points above Lecce with five matches to go.

Like Fiorentina, the Bull picked up a morale-boosting victory on Thursday by seeing off Genoa 3-0 - Bremer, Sasa Lukic and Andrea Belotti all netting for the hosts.

Moreno Longo's side enter this match on their worst away run since 1933-34, losing seven in a row on their travels in a run stretching back to January 5 when beating Roma.

However, Fiorentina do not exactly boast the best home record, winning one of their last 13 matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi and failing to score more than once in any of those.

If Torino are to come away from this match with all three points they will have to snap a run of 29 games without victory in Florence, a streak that spans some 44 years.

Fiorentina's Serie A form: LLWDDW

Torino's Serie A form: LLLWLW


Team News

Fiorentina's Patrick Cutrone pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Iachini recalled Cutrone for the win at Lecce and partnered the Wolverhampton Wanderers loanee with Franck Ribery up top.

Cutrone was on target and Fiorentina scored more than two goals in a game for the first time since February, so it may well be a case of sticking with a winning formula.

Erick Pulgar also looks likely to retain his place in midfield having already equalled his personal best Serie A goals tally with six in all this season.

The visitors welcomed Simone Zaza back for their midweek win against Genoa and, like their opponents, changes are expected to be kept to a minimum.

Daniele Baselli is Torino's only injury absentee, the midfielder suffering ligament damage during the lockdown that will see him miss the rest of the elongated campaign.

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Terracciano; Milenkovic, Pezzella, Caceres; Chiesa, Ghezzal, Pulgar, Duncan, Lirola; Ribery, Cutrone

Torino possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Izzo, Nkoulou, Bremer; Silvestri, Meite, Rincon, Ansaldi; Verdi; Belotti, Zaza


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino

Torino have lost seven away games in a row and are without an away win at Fiorentina in the league since 1974, so we are tipping the hosts to string together back-to-back Serie A victories for the first time since January.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.


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Rachid Ghezzal celebrates scoring for Monaco on January 21, 2018
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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