MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:50:36| >> :120:10291:10291:
AFC Wimbledon
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford logo

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 5
Brentford

Lewis (2'), Stevens (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thiago (23', 31'), Wissa (45' pen.), Schade (66'), Mbeumo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between AFC Wimbledon and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Met Police 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brentford 2-4 Newcastle
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brentford

Even though a septet of key Brentford players are still on their summer holidays, Frank can still put out a team brimming with Premier League experience, and Saturday's tie should only end with one result. An expected raft of second-half changes has the potential to halt the Bees' momentum, but they should still run into little trouble against Wimbledon, whose 100% pre-season record should come to a swift end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
49.74% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.038000000000004 0.04)66.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)30.16% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.31% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.74%
    Brentford 26.53%
    Draw 23.72%
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Brentford
Valencia (42')
Jul 5, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
0-3
Brentford
Nightingale (56' og.), Norgaard (82'), Watkins (84')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Brentford
Robinson (25')
Oshilaja (85')
Sawyers (69'), Watkins (105'), Shaibu (119')
Sawyers (60')
Sep 3, 2013 7pm
First Round
Brentford
5-3
AFC Wimbledon
El Allagui (42', 54'), Norris (52'), Nugent (64'), Venta (69')
Fenlon (56'), Francomb (82'), Sweeney (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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