MX23RW : Wednesday, September 4 19:28:58| >> :60:148:148:
AFC Wimbledon
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford logo

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 5
Brentford

Lewis (2'), Stevens (81')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thiago (23', 31'), Wissa (45' pen.), Schade (66'), Mbeumo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between AFC Wimbledon and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Met Police 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brentford 2-4 Newcastle
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-3 Brentford

Even though a septet of key Brentford players are still on their summer holidays, Frank can still put out a team brimming with Premier League experience, and Saturday's tie should only end with one result. An expected raft of second-half changes has the potential to halt the Bees' momentum, but they should still run into little trouble against Wimbledon, whose 100% pre-season record should come to a swift end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
49.74% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.02% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.038000000000004 0.04)66.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)30.16% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.049999999999997 0.05)66.31% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.74%
    Brentford 26.53%
    Draw 23.72%
AFC WimbledonDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Brentford
Valencia (42')
Jul 5, 2019 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
AFC Wimbledon
0-3
Brentford
Nightingale (56' og.), Norgaard (82'), Watkins (84')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Brentford
Robinson (25')
Oshilaja (85')
Sawyers (69'), Watkins (105'), Shaibu (119')
Sawyers (60')
Sep 3, 2013 7pm
First Round
Brentford
5-3
AFC Wimbledon
El Allagui (42', 54'), Norris (52'), Nugent (64'), Venta (69')
Fenlon (56'), Francomb (82'), Sweeney (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City33009279
2Liverpool33007079
3Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32106247
4Arsenal32105147
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32104227
6Brentford32015416
7Aston Villa32014406
8Bournemouth31205415
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31203215
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs31116334
11Chelsea31117524
12Fulham31113304
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham310245-13
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd310225-33
15Leicester CityLeicester301235-21
16Crystal Palace301225-31
17Ipswich TownIpswich301227-51
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves301239-61
19Southampton300315-40
20Everton3003210-80


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!