Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.