Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Torino |
47.96% ( 0.01) | 26.06% ( -0) | 25.97% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.84% ( -0) | 54.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% ( -0) | 75.57% ( -0) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% ( 0) | 22.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% ( 0.01) | 56.2% ( -0.01) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% ( -0.01) | 36.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.8% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.96% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |