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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-0 Roma

Atalanta often falter against other teams in Serie A's top six, while Roma are rarely at their best away from home. Following intense Europa League semi-finals, both will also be weary, so this crucial contest could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
55.32% (-0.323 -0.32) 23.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.35% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.249 -0.25)47.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.231 -0.23)69.64% (0.233 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.364 -0.36)47.12% (0.366 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)36.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.064 0.06)73.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 55.32%
    Roma 21.35%
    Draw 23.33%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
57.5%
Draw
29.2%
Roma
13.3%
120
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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