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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jun 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lookman (12'), Scalvini (32')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Belotti (6', 45+1'), Gonzalez (19')
Martinez (75'), Ranieri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Having returned to winning ways in Europe on Thursday, Atalanta are due a Serie A victory after four matches without one, with Gasperini's willingness to freshen his side possibly proving pivotal in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
39.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 26.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 34.7% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (0.056999999999995 0.06)51.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.21% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.73% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 39.05%
    Fiorentina 34.7%
    Draw 26.25%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Fiorentina
5.6%
216
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Atalanta
4-1
Fiorentina
Koopmeiners (8'), Scamacca (75'), Lookman (90+4'), Pasalic (90+8')
Kolasinac (56'), Scamacca (80')
Martinez (68')
Mandragora (43'), Dodo (69')
Milenkovic (53')
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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