Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
39.05% ( 0.07) | 26.25% ( -0.02) | 34.7% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.21% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.6% ( 0.06) | 51.4% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% ( 0.05) | 73.21% ( -0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.06) | 25.78% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.27% ( 0.09) | 60.73% ( -0.09) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( -0.01) | 28.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.97% ( -0.01) | 64.02% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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