We said: Benfica 2-1 Brentford
While both sides remain weakened by international call-ups and summer holidays, Brentford may feel that the depleted Benfica defence is there for the taking, especially after the weekend's five-goal showing.
The Portuguese side have also been on the attacking warpath this summer, though, and we still expect Schmidt's men to edge a closely-fought battle, albeit without a clean sheet to show for their efforts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.