Friendlies 1

Feb 3, 2024 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
2 - 0
El Salvador

Daly (20'), Suarez (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Esquivel (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Costa Rica and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 3-1 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 21 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	3	2	7
2	Costa Rica	3	1	4
3	Martinique	3	-2	3
4	El Salvador	3	-1	2

El Salvador

All competitions

Last Game: Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	El Salvador
45.77% ( 3.02)	25.83% ( -0.76)	28.39% ( -2.26)

Both teams to score 52.02% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21% (

51.78% (

-2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45% (

1.7)

73.55% (

-1.71)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41% (

2.33)

22.59% (

-2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.81% (

3.35)

56.19% (

-3.36)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-0.63)

32.81% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

-0.71)

69.37% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 45.77%

El Salvador 28.39%

Draw 25.83%

Costa Rica	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.77%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.39%