Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.