Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi
Turkey4 - 0Latvia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
We said: Turkey 3-1 Latvia
After such an excellent result in Croatia, expectations will be raised even higher in Turkey this weekend, when the Crescent-Stars should book their ticket to Germany with a win. New coach Vincenzo Montella has built up a lot of good will already, so will be keen to retain it by securing a spot at Euro 2024 at the first opportunity. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Latvia |
72.44% ( -0.1) | 16.19% ( 0.03) | 11.37% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.07) | 33.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.08) | 55.62% ( -0.09) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( -0) | 8.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.49% ( -0.01) | 28.5% ( 0) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.17) | 40.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.71% ( 0.15) | 77.28% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Turkey 72.43%
Latvia 11.37%
Draw 16.19%
| Turkey | Draw | Latvia |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.16% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.19% | 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 11.37% |
How you voted: Turkey vs Latvia
Turkey
81.1%Draw
11.3%Latvia
7.5%53
