MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:14:18| >> :600:5669732:5669732:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Turkey national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi
Latvia national football team

Turkey
4 - 0
Latvia

Akgun (58'), Tosun (83', 90+2'), Akturkoglu (87')
Ozcan (17'), Akturkoglu (63'), Bardakci (64'), Kahveci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Emsis (49'), Ozols (51'), Daskevics (56'), Tobers (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 0-1 Turkey
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83

Latvia

All competitions
Last Game: Latvia 2-0 Armenia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey6313
2Croatia5710
3Armenia6-17
4Wales5-17
5Latvia6-83

We said: Turkey 3-1 Latvia

 After such an excellent result in Croatia, expectations will be raised even higher in Turkey this weekend, when the Crescent-Stars should book their ticket to Germany with a win. New coach Vincenzo Montella has built up a lot of good will already, so will be keen to retain it by securing a spot at Euro 2024 at the first opportunity. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawLatvia
72.44% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 16.19% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 11.37% (0.068 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.48% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (0.072000000000003 0.07)33.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.38% (0.082999999999998 0.08)55.62% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)28.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (0.16699999999999 0.17)40.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (0.151 0.15)77.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 72.43%
    Latvia 11.37%
    Draw 16.19%
TurkeyDrawLatvia
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.72% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 72.43%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.19%
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 11.37%

How you voted: Turkey vs Latvia

Turkey
81.1%
Draw
11.3%
Latvia
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
2-3
Turkey
Emsis (51'), Tobers (90+4')
Oss (34'), Emsis (52'), Tobers (66')
Emsis (82')
Bardakci (22'), Under (61'), Kahveci (90+5')
Celik (32'), Kadioglu (41')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
1-2
Turkey
Demiral (70' og.)
Jaunzems (3'), Cigaņiks (50'), Tarasovs (87'), Ozols (90+2')
Dursun (76'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Yilmaz (57')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
3-3
Latvia
Karaman (2'), Calhanoglu (33'), Yilmaz (52' pen.)
Soyuncu (55'), Unal (90'), Turuc (90+4')
Savaļnieks (35'), Uldrikis (58'), Ikaunieks (79')
Kamess (68'), Emsis (71'), Fjodorovs (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Turkey
1-1
Latvia
İnan (77')
Tufan (32')
Sabala (91')
Tarasovs (9'), Vanins (34'), Sabala (91'), Visnakovs (92')
> Match Report
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Latvia
1-1
Turkey
Sabala (54' pen.)
Ikaunieks (45'), Visnakovs (45'), Freimanis (52')
Freimanis (92')
Kisa (47')
Turan (51'), Tore (53'), Kisa (65'), Altintop (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!